Report for Model 1

— for both jointly and separately

2024-10-08

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 300000 iteration;
  • 200000 burn-in;
  • 100 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.01
## LDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dh0           1.09       1.36
## dh1           1.10       1.36
## dl0           1.05       1.21
## dl1           1.02       1.09
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.1

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1211.34549 22611.0629
DIC3 1155.31617 22713.2479
PWAIC 41.91592 255.0105
WAIC 1181.63383 22735.5758

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 300000 iteration;
  • 200000 burn-in;
  • 100 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## LDevsum       1.00       1.02
## dh0           1.25       1.84
## dh1           1.24       1.80
## dl0           1.01       1.01
## dl1           1.01       1.02
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.15

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0a
DIC 1212.78403
DIC3 1155.46726
PWAIC 41.76234
WAIC 1181.55251

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 300000 iteration;
  • 200000 burn-in;
  • 100 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum        1.00       1.01
## LDevsum       1.00       1.02
## dl0           1.01       1.01
## dl1           1.01       1.02
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.01

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L1
DIC 22610.7042
DIC3 22714.5827
PWAIC 256.2921
WAIC 22737.2187